[#6] 100 Chests opening x2

Good morning WarErans!

Here's another article from the mini-series "What if you opened 100 chests".

This time with a bit of a math at the end. But that's not all! It's a double content release, meaning I'll be opening 200 this time.

Last run was so-so:
65 gray
27 green
7 blue
1 purple

Starting situation:

20 cases in: 8 gray, 11 green, 1 blue - that's... weird, more green items with 30% of drop rate than 62% for common. Cherry on top getting a rare one

(Probablilty got its revenge in next 10 cases, 7 grays, 3 greens)

The game tells me to, for good karma on the next batch of crates, I'll listen:

Long time nothing burger, then:

At 100 chests:

53 gray, 34 green, 4 blue, 1 purple - pretty standard results


Epic from another 100 of chests:

Whoops, messed up and opened 6 cases too much.
Well then, I'll open another 4 so we have 210 today:

Summary of a second 100:
67 gray, 37 green, 5 rare, 1 epic


Let's count if I am a winner or a loser today:

Price of a case on the market at the time of opening chests: 3.506
That's 736,26 gold if I sold the cases that I've opened.

Now let's assume I'll sell all the scrap from Gray trash:
120 items x 6 scrap = 720 => 720 x 0,225 = 162g

Green: here's where it gets tricky, because you can sell max rolls items slightly higher than their scrap. For simplification I'll count them all as scrap.
71 x 18 = 1278 => 1278 x 0,225 = 287,55g

Blue:
14g for 45% helmet
The rest of 8 rare items I see of no value and will scrap them:
8 x 54 = 432 => 432 x 0,225 = 97,2 + 14(helmet) = 111,2g

Epic:
Sniper 46,7g
Helmet 57,5g
104,2g

Items from chests value: 664,95g

Loss: 736,26 - 664,95 = 71,31g

Final thoughts:
Don't stress about artificial money, enjoy your life and open all cases for a thrill of seeing a mythic drop one day.


See you next time!
Thanks for taking time to browse through this