Hey everyone! đź‘‹
Like many of you, after cracking open dozens of cases and pulling what felt like endless commons, I kept asking myself the same question:
"Am I just extraordinarily unlucky, or is this what everyone experiences?"
I couldn't shake the curiosity, so I decided to dig into the math. What started as a personal weekend script to analyze my own on-chain drop history turned into a full-fledged web tool that I wanted to share with the whole community:
👉 WarEra Luck Inspector
(https://war-era-luck.vercel.app/)
🔍 How it works:
Just type in your username (no login or password needed).
It scans your entire public case opening history (Green, Elite, and Wooden crates).
Every single item you’ve ever pulled is valued in real-time Market Gold using live exchange trading prices.
It runs a 4,000-trial Monte Carlo simulation against the game’s official published drop rates to calculate your true percentile Luck Score (0 – 100):
Score 50 = Perfectly on curve with official odds
Score > 80 = House crusher / Very Lucky
Score < 30 = Painful RNG cold streak
You can also explore your lifetime gold profit/deficit, your longest dry spells without an Epic/Mythic drop, and a complete loot matrix of everything you've pulled.
đź’¬ Drop your score in the comments!
Are you beating the house, or are the cases taking a heavy toll? Look up your name and share your Luck Score and total profit/deficit below — let’s see who holds the luckiest (and most cursed!) account in WarEra.
Also, this is made for you guys, so please test it out and leave any feedback, ideas, or feature requests. I’d love to hear your thoughts so I can keep improving it!
Good luck on your next pulls! 🍀