Economic Overview 1/15/2026

Profitability of Raw Material and Processing Factories

Ammo remains the most profitable single factory, reaching ~0.037 profit per Production Point. Unlike yesterday, this result is no longer driven by an exceptional demand shock — the recent large-scale battle between Serbia and Italy has ended with a peace agreement, and Ammo prices are now gradually returning to normal levels. Steak takes second place, showing strong and steady profitability.

A notable shift today comes from Oil. Sweden recently changed its specialization to Oil, and this move paid off: oil prices peaked at around 1.72 earlier today. At the same time, Petroleum dropped as low as 0.06, creating a temporary imbalance within the oil chain. Prices have since stabilized, but Oil factories remain firmly within the top 5 most profitable options today.

Production Chain Profitability

Among the leaders, Ammo + Lead currently ranks first, followed by Steel + Iron. While the Ammo chain still reflects elevated military demand, Steel + Iron stands out as a non-military alternative with stable, industry-driven returns and significantly lower sensitivity to market volatility.

As expected, Pill + Herb remains unprofitable overall and should be avoided unless prices change significantly.

Pricing Predictions and Indicators

With the Serbia–Italy conflict officially over, the market is shifting away from war-driven demand. Prices for Ammo, Heavy Ammo, and other military goods are slowly declining, signaling the end of the recent speculative spike.

The most interesting short-term signal today comes from the energy sector. During the Oil price peak, total traded volume reached around 17.6k units, indicating strong, possibly speculative demand. Notably, about seven hours later, after prices had already started to cool, the market recorded a second volume spike of roughly 15.7k units.